Matlab AR command for creating the model of predicting kstep ahead prediction

2014 7 16
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更新时间：2023 11 14
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I want to use AR model as a predictor, and for that matlab AR function is used.But there is problem, this function only has the ability to create model for predicting one step ahead directly and for other steps it predicts recursively. If I can use my own pairs of input and output and use the AR it will be solved,but it is not possible for AR function in matlab, because it is capable to have only the time series as an input. IS there any way for solving this problem? Thanks in advance for your suggestions.

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Shashank Prasanna
Shashank Prasanna 2014-7-16

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Maybe you are looking for ARX (autoregressive with exogenous inputs). You can fit an ARX model using either the Econometrics or the System Id Toolbox:
http://www.mathworks.com/help/ident/ref/arx.html
http://www.mathworks.com/help/econ/arimax-model-specifications.html

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lily
lily 2014-7-16
Thanks for your response. You know, I think there is some misconception for me about AR model. The delay between input and output can be more than 1 step?
Shashank Prasanna
Shashank Prasanna 2014-7-16
You can specify any number of lags. Take a look at the documentation link and try to run some of the examples, it will be come clear.
lily
lily 2014-7-17
编辑：lily 2014-7-17
You are right, I can different lags for both input and output pairs. But my problem is not in number of lags, I want to have model such that:
y(t+2)=a(1)u(t-1)+a(2)u(t-2)+...+a(p)u(t-p)
rather than
y(t)=a(1)u(t-1)+a(2)u(t-2)+...+a(p)u(t-p)
and not:
y(t)+b(1)y(t-1)+b(2)y(t-2)+..=a(1)u(t-1)+a(2)u(t-2)+...+a(p)u(t-p)
My problem is having different step a head output(y(t),y(t+10),..), not lag on it, with the same input pairs.
lily
lily 2014-7-20
You are right. My problem has been solved. Thanks a lot for your help.
Elias Pergantis
Elias Pergantis 2023-11-14
What was the solution for this? Can you provide some code?

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