VAR with special error structure

Question

Max 2014-11-14

0
链接

此问题的直接链接

https://ww2.mathworks.cn/matlabcentral/answers/162768-var-with-special-error-structure

回答： Roger Wohlwend 2014-11-17

I need to compute a vector autoregression (and graph impulse response functions) for a two series system, X and Y. The issue is the errors. The system is (roughly):

X=const1+b*X(lags)+c*Y(lags)+u1 Y=const2+d*X(lags)+e*Y(lags)+u2

We have u1=e1 and u2=f*e1+e2 where e1 and e2 are uncorrelated. So e1 and e2 are the exogenous shocks, but the system has u1 and u2.

What is the best way to go about estimating this and getting the impulse response? Can I use vgxvarx? Thanks.

0 个评论
显示 -2更早的评论隐藏 -2更早的评论

请先登录，再进行评论。

请先登录，再回答此问题。

Answer 1

Roger Wohlwend 2014-11-17

0
链接

此回答的直接链接

https://ww2.mathworks.cn/matlabcentral/answers/162768-var-with-special-error-structure#answer_159199

First estimate the VAR (X,Y) with the function vgxvarx. Then estimate the parameter f with a regression. After having estimated the VAR, you know u1, so you can regress u2 on u1 (wich is identical to e1). However, for the impulse response you cannot use the Matlab function vgxproc because you don't have a standard VAR. Your VAR looks like this:

[X;Y](t+1) = [a;b] + [A,B;C,D]*[X;Y](t) + [1,0;f,1]*[e1;e2](t+1)

So you have to calculate the impulse response yourself. Set for example e1(1) = 1, e2(0) = 0, X(0) = 0 and Y(0) = 0 and compute X(1) and Y(1). Then compute u1 and u2 and extract e1 and e2. Now repeat this process again and again.