simulate a time series with knowing parameters

2015 1 5
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更新时间：2015 1 5
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how can I simulate a time series, take a mean from each simulation model to build a new time series. It should be routine work but, however..
My first task is to produce a model for the observed time series and to fit them. So I maked it in excel
Then I want to simulate this model 10000 times and for each model take an average in order to produce a new time series composed of this 10000 averages.
my be there is a toolbox or some scripts for those issues

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