water demand forecasting using neural network

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my project is to develope and ANN network which will forecast water demand depending on previous consumption and temperatuer.i have per day consumption data from year 2005-2011 i want to use this data and predict cnsumption for 2011 so how can i design a neural network for my application. plz help.regarding the same as i am new to neural network.

采纳的回答

Greg Heath
Greg Heath 2011-11-26
Start by reading the documentation and try to reproduce the timeseries forecasting examples. Additional information can be obtained by searching the Newsgroup using the search words
timeseries and/or forecasting.
Hope this helps,
Greg
  2 个评论
niranjan sane
niranjan sane 2011-11-28
hello sir,
but how to use nntool for my application
niranjan sane
niranjan sane 2011-12-7
hello sir,
i am using nntool of matlab for my prediction my application is to forecast water demand based on previous consumption.
year month day net supply
2003 1 1 2900
2003 1 1 2915
.
.
2010 12 31 3400.
my input matrix has 3 inputs month day and date and output matrix is simply net supply.i have trained my network using
nntool i got good results in training,validation and testing.ie(0.93).but when i try to simulate the network using nntool to forecast the consumption
for 2011 year i am not getting good results.
i mean if the actual consumption on 1st jan 2011 is 3400 i am getting it as 2900.
can you give me any sugession how to improve the results.

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