How to add confidence intervals (95%) in a return level plot for a Weibull3 distribution?

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Mari Sandvik
Mari Sandvik 2017-10-24
评论： Mari Sandvik 2017-11-3
I have gotten a code from a colleague, which I have to update. The code (EVA_Weibull3.m) conducts a extreme value analysis by using the Weibull3 distribution for wind data (Wind_Krakenes_2005-2016). To evaluate the max values a block maximum method is used, with a block width of 30 days.
The script is working, but I want to include confidence intervals for the Weibull 3 distribution when plotting the return level. My figure now only contains the block maximum value of the data (blue dots) and the return value of the created distribution (black line).
My problem is that I'm not sure how to calculate the 95% confidence intervals?
I have attached the code, since it is almost 200 lines and I'm not sure what information is needed to calculate the 95% confidence intervals.
Mari

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回答（1 个）

Mary Abbott
Mary Abbott 2017-10-30
Hello,
The "wblfit" function can be used to estimate the confidence interval of the parameters of a Weibull distribution:
https://www.mathworks.com/help/stats/wblfit.html
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Mari Sandvik
Mari Sandvik 2017-11-3
Hi,
The wblfit function does estimate the confidence interval of a 2 parameter Weibull distribution, where the location file is equal zero. However I want to know how to calculate the confidence interval of a 3 parameter Weibull distribution.
If I had decided to only do a 2 parameter Weibull distribution, how would you plot these confidence intervals in a return level plot as shown above.
Mari

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