how to perform data fit like excel? and plot
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Anand Ra
2021-6-16
- I have observed array of data ( y_obs) and predicted data (y_pred)
- Predicted data is obtained from an equation
- How do I fit the observed data to the predicted data by minimizing the coefficient "d" in the equation? ( This is possible in excel, but I could not find a suitable method in matlab
Below is my code for steps 1 and 2:
% observed data
y_obs = [0.3 0.2 0.28 0.318 0.421 0.492 0.572 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.8 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.91]'; % If y_obs should equal to predicted, I can have more data. J us fo rthe code, I am providing limited observed data
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d=0.000000000302;
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = zeros(14,1);
L3 = zeros(14,1);
L4 = zeros(14,1);
At = zeros(14,1);
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
format shortE
for t= 300:300:21600
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(t/300) = sum(L5);
y_pred(t/300) = 1 -L1*S(t/300); % predicted data
end
2 个评论
Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
L2 = zeros(14);
that should probably be
L2 = zeros(14,1);
like the other variables.
Anand Ra
2021-6-16
Thanks for the response, I can update it.
Can you please guide me on how to perform the data fitting in the fashion I described in bullet point 3?
采纳的回答
Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
编辑:Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
format shortE
% observed data
y_obs = [0.3 0.2 0.28 0.318 0.421 0.492 0.572 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.8 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.91]'; % If y_obs should equal to predicted, I can have more data. J us fo rthe code, I am providing limited observed data
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
T1 = t1(1:length(y_obs)).';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d0 = 0.000000000302;
syms d
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L3 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L4 = sym(zeros(14,1));
At = sym(zeros(14,1));
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
y_pred = sym(zeros(length(T1),1));
for t = T1
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(t/300) = sum(L5);
y_pred(t/300) = 1 -L1*S(t/300); % predicted data
end
sse = expand(sum((y_pred - y_obs(:)).^2));
f = matlabFunction(sse)
ans = ![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/654465/image.png)
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/654465/image.png)
opt1 = fmincon(f, d0)
opt2 = fminsearch(f, d0)
35 个评论
Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
My test system got really slow suddenly, so I have not tested the fmincon / fminsearch steps yet.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
Please note that you are building 72 y_pred but your y_obs only has 16 entries. I coded above to only go as far in predictions as you have y_obs for.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-16
fmincon suggests d about 1e-11 and fminsearch suggests d about 3e-13 . But d = 0 is better than 1e-11, and the value at -3e-13 is a little better than that. -3.3508267261899e-13 checks out as a local minima when I plot.
Anand Ra
2021-6-16
Thanks a lot Walter!!
However, I am encountering the following error when trying to execute your code. Been trying to debug, but no luck. Following is the error:
Unable to perform assignment because value of type 'sym' is not convertible to 'double'.
Error in att1 (line 36)
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
Caused by:
Error using symengine
Unable to convert expression containing symbolic variables into double array. Apply 'subs' function first to substitute values for variables.
I am not sure how to use the subs function to the coefficient "d"
Anand Ra
2021-6-16
Sorry, one last request. Trying to plot the observed vs predicted fit following the minimization.
I am unable to pull the minimized data. How do I obtain "y_pred" data array?
I am looking to plot the observed vsp redicted after minimization.
Anand Ra
2021-6-17
Sorry, one last request. Trying to plot the observed vs predicted fit following the minimization.
I am unable to pull the minimized data. How do I obtain "y_pred" data array?
I am looking to plot the observed vsp redicted after minimization.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-17
%assuming that opt is the optimal d value:
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
Anand Ra
2021-6-17
Thanks, but when plotted why does y_pred_n ends up as a straight line =1?
Isnt it suppose to fit the y_obs?
Anand Ra
2021-6-17
And more over, the predicted minmum is same as the inital value of d.
opt1 =opt2 = inital assignment d0. Not sure why.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-17
format long g
% observed data
y_obs = [0.3 0.2 0.28 0.318 0.421 0.492 0.572 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.8 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.91]'; % If y_obs should equal to predicted, I can have more data. J us fo rthe code, I am providing limited observed data
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
T1 = t1(1:length(y_obs)).';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d0 = 0.000000000302;
syms d
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L3 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L4 = sym(zeros(14,1));
At = sym(zeros(14,1));
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
y_pred = sym(zeros(length(T1),1));
for t = T1
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(t/300) = sum(L5);
y_pred(t/300) = 1 -L1*S(t/300); % predicted data
end
sse = expand(sum((y_pred - y_obs(:)).^2));
f = matlabFunction(sse)
f = function_handle with value:
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[opt_mc, err_mc] = fmincon(f, d0)
Local minimum possible. Constraints satisfied.
fmincon stopped because the size of the current step is less than
the value of the step size tolerance and constraints are
satisfied to within the value of the constraint tolerance.
opt_mc =
1.82376530468465e-11
err_mc =
2.75102571512948
[opt_ms, err_ms] = fminsearch(f, d0)
opt_ms =
-3.31787109375621e-13
err_ms =
1.68163295678904
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_mc));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fmincon predictions')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/657190/image.png)
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_ms));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fminsearch predictions')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/657195/image.png)
These are not straight lines, and the predicted minimum is not the same as d0.
The visual fit is not good in either case.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-17
If you continue on with
trypoints = -logspace(-14,-5, 10000);
predictions = f(trypoints);
[bestprediction, bestidx] = min(predictions)
bestd = trypoints(bestidx)
trypointsp = logspace(-14,-5, 10000);
predictions = f(trypointsp);
[bestpredictionp, bestidx] = min(predictions)
bestdp = trypointsp(bestidx)
then the bestd is still around -3.34774581070573e-13
Either your calculation is quite sensitive to numeric values (that is, if you were to proceed step by step numerically rather than creating a formula and substituting into that, then you might get a different result due to round-off happening much more often)... or else the model is not a good fit for the data.
Anand Ra
2021-6-18
Thanks you for the guidance.
Since the model isn’t yielding the correct initial condition with the fitting algorithm. Will adding constraints help?
Also, wanted to let you know that I expanded to y_obs to 72 entries. Still produces the same result as yours.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-18
Constraints will not help much. All a constraint could help you do would be to avoid going below about -4e-13, which is the point at which it becomes NaN.
My tests show that at least for the data that you posted earlier, that the shape goes:
- almost everything negative gives NaN
- between roughly -4e-13 and -3.35e-13, the error calculation exists and decreases like a quadratic
- above roughly -3.35e-13 and 0, the value increases again like a quadratic
- above 0 the value keeps increasing
When I took the derivative of y_pred and solved for it being 0, the solution was the approximately -3.35 value.
If your assignment statements are correct, then the model is simply wrong for the data. Which implies you should check your assignment statements in detail.
Anand Ra
2021-6-18
Thank you Mr.Walter! very much appreciated. I had certain level of confidence with the assignments( y_pred data) because I cross verified with my excel model to ensure consistency. Also, I can try again with different set of y_obs to see if the trend changes.
As far as the solver is concerned, the literature I am referring to suggests that this can be performed using lsqnonlin. But, I have spent a lot of time on it, and I find it very difficlt to condense my complex equation to accomodate to the form that is compatible to execute using lsqnonlin solver. Any thoughts on what solver I can use for my objective? Thanks for all your guidance!!
Walter Roberson
2021-6-18
format long g
% observed data
y_obs = [0.3 0.2 0.28 0.318 0.421 0.492 0.572 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.8 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.91]'; % If y_obs should equal to predicted, I can have more data. J us fo rthe code, I am providing limited observed data
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
T1 = t1(1:length(y_obs)).';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d0 = 0.000000000302;
syms d
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L3 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L4 = sym(zeros(14,1));
At = sym(zeros(14,1));
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
y_pred = sym(zeros(length(T1),1));
for t = T1
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(t/300) = sum(L5);
y_pred(t/300) = 1 -L1*S(t/300); % predicted data
end
flsq = matlabFunction(y_pred(:))
flsq = function_handle with value:
@(d)[exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-7.5e+9)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.212809917355372e+10)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.518595041322314e+10)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.87396694214876e+10)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.278925619834711e+10)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.733471074380165e+10)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.237603305785124e+10)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.791322314049587e+10)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.394628099173554e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.047520661157025e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.020661157024793e+9)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.037190082644628e+9)).*1.654201792665767e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.549586776859504e+9)).*3.242251160829167e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.578512396694215e+8)).*9.006185612967756e-2+1.0;exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.5e+10)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.042561983471074e+11)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-9.037190082644628e+10)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-7.74793388429752e+10)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.557851239669421e+10)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.46694214876033e+10)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.475206611570248e+10)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.582644628099173e+10)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.789256198347107e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.095041322314049e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.004132231404959e+10)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.074380165289256e+9)).*1.654201792665767e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.099173553719008e+9)).*3.242251160829167e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.115702479338843e+9)).*9.006185612967756e-2+1.0;exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.25e+10)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.563842975206611e+11)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.355578512396694e+11)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.162190082644628e+11)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-9.836776859504132e+10)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-8.200413223140495e+10)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.712809917355372e+10)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.37396694214876e+10)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.183884297520661e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.142561983471074e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.506198347107438e+10)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-9.111570247933884e+9)).*1.654201792665767e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.648760330578512e+9)).*3.242251160829167e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.673553719008264e+9)).*9.006185612967756e-2+1.0;exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.0e+10)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.085123966942149e+11)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.807438016528926e+11)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.549586776859504e+11)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.311570247933884e+11)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.093388429752066e+11)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-8.950413223140495e+10)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-7.165289256198347e+10)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.578512396694215e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.190082644628099e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.008264462809917e+10)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.214876033057851e+10)).*1.654201792665767e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.198347107438016e+9)).*3.242251160829167e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.231404958677686e+9)).*9.006185612967756e-2+1.0;exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.75e+10)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.606404958677686e+11)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.259297520661157e+11)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.93698347107438e+11)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.639462809917355e+11)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.366735537190083e+11)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.118801652892562e+11)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-8.956611570247933e+10)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.973140495867768e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-5.237603305785124e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.510330578512397e+10)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.518595041322314e+10)).*1.654201792665767e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-7.74793388429752e+9)).*3.242251160829167e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.789256198347107e+9)).*9.006185612967756e-2+1.0;exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-4.5e+10)).*(-6.698838604180037e-3)-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.127685950413223e+11)).*9.638060662976441e-4-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.711157024793388e+11)).*1.111879404329578e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-2.324380165289256e+11)).*1.296897543527722e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.967355371900826e+11)).*1.532249550596395e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.640082644628099e+11)).*1.838006919804312e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.342561983471074e+11)).*2.245318304241606e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.074793388429752e+11)).*2.804709963564875e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-8.367768595041322e+10)).*3.602487767549398e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-6.285123966942148e+10)).*4.796221218789088e-3-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-3.012396694214876e+10)).*1.000693550667001e-2-exp(d.*pi.^2.*(-1.822314049586777e+10)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[opt_lsq, err_lsq] = lsqnonlin(flsq, d0)
Local minimum possible.
lsqnonlin stopped because the size of the current step is less than
the value of the step size tolerance.
opt_lsq =
3.02e-10
err_lsq =
15.9575171934164
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_lsq));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('lsqnonlin predictions')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/658165/image.png)
Walter Roberson
2021-6-18
I recommend that you take an approach like I showed in https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/857320-how-to-perform-data-fit-like-excel-and-plot#comment_1589825 where you construct a vector of trial d values to evaluate f at, and plot the result. You will be able to see visually that there isn't any hidden low-residue area, that you are not dealing with multiple minima and maxima. Not unless mabye you start going for much higher d values... I can't say that I plotted for (say) d = 317.
Anand Ra
2021-6-19
I will re-examine my assignment and observed data as you suggested. Thanks a lot for your help and gudiance!! Very much appreciated.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-19
Your model cannot even get close if you confine to two observations :(
If you confine to one observation, then the fminsearch() version can get quite close for that one point, but the fmincon() version doesn't get close.
Taylor series doesn't help it seems.
format long g
% observed data
y_obs = [0.3 0.2 0.28 0.318 0.421 0.492 0.572 0.55 0.63 0.61 0.73 0.8 0.81 0.84 0.93 0.91]'; % If y_obs should equal to predicted, I can have more data. J us fo rthe code, I am providing limited observed data
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
T1 = t1(1:length(y_obs)).';
y_obsX = y_obs([1 3]);
T1X = T1([1 3]);
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d0 = 0.000000000302;
syms d
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L3 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L4 = sym(zeros(14,1));
At = sym(zeros(14,1));
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
y_pred = sym(zeros(length(T1X),1));
for tidx = 1 : length(T1X)
t = T1X(tidx);
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(tidx) = sum(L5);
y_pred(tidx) = 1 - L1*S(tidx); % predicted data
end
sse = expand(sum((y_pred - y_obsX(:)).^2));
f = matlabFunction(sse)
f = function_handle with value:
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[opt_mc, err_mc] = fmincon(f, d0)
Local minimum possible. Constraints satisfied.
fmincon stopped because the size of the current step is less than
the value of the step size tolerance and constraints are
satisfied to within the value of the constraint tolerance.
opt_mc =
1.82376530468464e-11
err_mc =
0.737074171900867
[opt_ms, err_ms] = fminsearch(f, d0)
opt_ms =
-3.48007812500063e-12
err_ms =
0.237225768747742
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_mc));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1X, y_pred_n, 'r-v')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fmincon predictions')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/658320/image.png)
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_ms));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1X, y_pred_n, 'r-v')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fminsearch predictions')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/658325/image.png)
best_d = vpasolve(diff(sse, d))
best_d =
1.0
f(double(best_d))
ans =
1.0084
FT = taylor(sse, d, 0, 'order', 10)
FT =
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/658330/image.png)
trial_sol = vpasolve(FT)
trial_sol =
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/658335/image.png)
f(double(trial_sol))
ans =
320.450229336017 + 0i
0.343266356293643 + 0i
0.654561380806186 + 0i
0.562484132868365 + 0.0790092483031968i
0.562484132868365 - 0.0790092483031968i
0.630971889213914 + 0.068321190380106i
0.630971889213914 - 0.068321190380106i
0.648768811395252 + 0.0351822086775853i
0.648768811395252 - 0.0351822086775853i
Anand Ra
2021-6-19
编辑:Anand Ra
2021-6-19
Oh ok.
Btw, wanted to share the full set of data for y_obs to you. The previous "y_obs" data that I gave could probably be the issue. I am sorry about that. Below is the complete set of observed data
format long g
% observed data
y_obs = [ 0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
5.5928e-01
6.0894e-01
6.5506e-01
6.8876e-01
7.1773e-01
7.4284e-01
7.6433e-01
7.8448e-01
7.9912e-01
8.1484e-01
8.2950e-01
8.3760e-01
8.4707e-01
8.5767e-01
8.6299e-01
8.6862e-01
8.7433e-01
8.7879e-01
8.8736e-01
8.9152e-01
8.9903e-01
9.0343e-01
9.0984e-01
9.1344e-01
9.1615e-01
9.2046e-01
9.2313e-01
9.2640e-01
9.2992e-01
9.3134e-01
9.3242e-01
9.3616e-01
9.3986e-01
9.4201e-01
9.4145e-01
9.4434e-01
9.4252e-01
9.4131e-01
9.4249e-01
9.4283e-01
9.4395e-01
9.4355e-01
9.4690e-01
9.4919e-01
9.5255e-01
9.5626e-01
9.6282e-01
9.6283e-01
9.6672e-01
9.6439e-01
9.6887e-01
9.7099e-01
9.7529e-01
9.8034e-01
9.8302e-01
9.8494e-01
9.8828e-01
9.8769e-01
9.9130e-01
9.9108e-01
9.9422e-01
9.9561e-01
9.9737e-01
1.0002e+00
1.0034e+00
1.0044e+00]
t1 = [300:300:21600]';
T1 = t1(1:length(y_obs)).';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d0 = 0.000000000302;
syms d
n=1;
t=300;
L2 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L3 = sym(zeros(14,1));
L4 = sym(zeros(14,1));
At = sym(zeros(14,1));
t = 300;
n =1;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
y_pred = sym(zeros(length(T1),1));
for t = T1
for n=1:1:14
L2(n) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n) = ((L2(n).*L3(n))/L4(n));
end
S(t/300) = sum(L5);
y_pred(t/300) = 1 -L1*S(t/300); % predicted data
end
sse = expand(sum((y_pred - y_obs(:)).^2));
f = matlabFunction(sse)
[opt_mc, err_mc] = fmincon(f, d0)
[opt_ms, err_ms] = fminsearch(f, d0)
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_mc));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fmincon predictions')
y_pred_n = double(subs(y_pred, d, opt_ms));
plot(T1, y_obs, 'k*', T1, y_pred_n, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'modeled'})
title('fminsearch predictions')
Walter Roberson
2021-6-20
Above d=1e-9, your function pretty much predicts 1.0 for all values
There just isn't anywhere left to go. Your y_pred do not model your data.
Anand Ra
2021-6-20
编辑:Anand Ra
2021-6-21
I went and coded the model assignment again and verified the two sets of data. The problem was that when the assignments were changed to syms, I am unable to verify the array coming out of the equation..
Below is the code:
y_obs = [
0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
5.5928e-01
6.0894e-01
6.5506e-01
6.8876e-01
7.1773e-01
7.4284e-01
7.6433e-01
7.8448e-01
7.9912e-01
8.1484e-01
8.2950e-01
8.3760e-01
8.4707e-01
8.5767e-01
8.6299e-01
8.6862e-01
8.7433e-01
8.7879e-01
8.8736e-01
8.9152e-01
8.9903e-01
9.0343e-01
9.0984e-01
9.1344e-01
9.1615e-01
9.2046e-01
9.2313e-01
9.2640e-01
9.2992e-01
9.3134e-01
9.3242e-01
9.3616e-01
9.3986e-01
9.4201e-01
9.4145e-01
9.4434e-01
9.4252e-01
9.4131e-01
9.4249e-01
9.4283e-01
9.4395e-01
9.4355e-01
9.4690e-01
9.4919e-01
9.5255e-01
9.5626e-01
9.6282e-01
9.6283e-01
9.6672e-01
9.6439e-01
9.6887e-01
9.7099e-01
9.7529e-01
9.8034e-01
9.8302e-01
9.8494e-01
9.8828e-01
9.8769e-01
9.9130e-01
9.9108e-01
9.9422e-01
9.9561e-01
9.9737e-01
1.0002e+00
1.0034e+00
1.0044e+00
1.00329
1.0];
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d=0.000000000302;
n=1;
L2 = zeros(14,1);
L3 = zeros(14,1);
L4 = zeros(14,1);
L5 = zeros(14,1);
S= zeros(73,1);
y_pred = zeros(73,1);
At = zeros(73,1);
% t = 0;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
format longE
j=1;
k =1;
for t= 0:300:21600
for n=0:1:14
L2(n+1) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n+1) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n+1)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n+1) = ((L2(n+1)*L3(n+1))/L4(n+1));
end
S((t/300) +1) = sum(L5);
y_pred((t/300)+1)= 1 -(L1*S((t/300) +1)); % predicted data
end
plot(t1, y_obs, 'k*', t1, y_pred, 'b')
legend({'observed', 'model data from equation'})
title('Plot before data fitting')
Anand Ra
2021-6-20
The y_obs and y_pred are similar. But, I am unable to perform fitting. If I use syms, the model predicted values are not verifiable. Is it possible to do what I am looking for, now that I have two clean data sets.
Walter Roberson
2021-6-21
You can perform fitting with numeric data.
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
y_obs = [
0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
etc];
d0 = 0.000000000302;
fun = @(d) ypred(d, t1) - y_obs;
best_d = lsqnonlin(fun, d0);
predicted_y = ypred(best_d, t1);
plot(t1, y_obs, '*', t1, predicted_y, '-');
function y_pred = ypred(d, t1)
%HERE
end
at the point marked HERE insert your code that takes a numeric d and numeric t1 and calculates y_pred -- basically just moving some of your code around, such as moving a and gama inside of the new function, and otherwise mostly doing the same thing
Anand Ra
2021-6-21
Thanks, and its executing. However, its not minimizing the d or performing the fitting process. It throws back the same initial assignment. The reason is as you mentioned earlier? the data is very sensitive? I am wondering why its not working because, I looking to replicate the fitting in the literature.
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
y_obs = [
0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
5.5928e-01
6.0894e-01
6.5506e-01
6.8876e-01
7.1773e-01
7.4284e-01
7.6433e-01
7.8448e-01
7.9912e-01
8.1484e-01
8.2950e-01
8.3760e-01
8.4707e-01
8.5767e-01
8.6299e-01
8.6862e-01
8.7433e-01
8.7879e-01
8.8736e-01
8.9152e-01
8.9903e-01
9.0343e-01
9.0984e-01
9.1344e-01
9.1615e-01
9.2046e-01
9.2313e-01
9.2640e-01
9.2992e-01
9.3134e-01
9.3242e-01
9.3616e-01
9.3986e-01
9.4201e-01
9.4145e-01
9.4434e-01
9.4252e-01
9.4131e-01
9.4249e-01
9.4283e-01
9.4395e-01
9.4355e-01
9.4690e-01
9.4919e-01
9.5255e-01
9.5626e-01
9.6282e-01
9.6283e-01
9.6672e-01
9.6439e-01
9.6887e-01
9.7099e-01
9.7529e-01
9.8034e-01
9.8302e-01
9.8494e-01
9.8828e-01
9.8769e-01
9.9130e-01
9.9108e-01
9.9422e-01
9.9561e-01
9.9737e-01
1.0002e+00
1.0034e+00
1.0044e+00
1.00329
1.0];
d0 = 0.000000000302;
fun = @(d) ypred(d, t1) - y_obs;
best_d = lsqnonlin(fun, d0)
predicted_y = ypred(best_d, t1);
plot(t1, y_obs, '*', t1, predicted_y, '-');
legend({'observed', 'predicted'})
title('lsqnonlin data fitting')
function y_pred = ypred(d, t1)
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
d=0.000000000302;
L2 = zeros(14,1);
L3 = zeros(100,1);
L4 = zeros(100,1);
L5 = zeros(100,1);
S= zeros(73,1);
y_pred = zeros(73,1);
% t = 0;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
format longE
k =1;
for t= 0:300:21600
for n=0:1:100
L2(n+1) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n+1) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n+1)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n+1) = ((L2(n+1)*L3(n+1))/L4(n+1));
end
S((t/300) +1) = sum(L5);
y_pred((t/300)+1)= 1 -(L1*S((t/300) +1)); % predicted data
end
end
Anand Ra
2021-6-21
I plotted the equation predicted vs solver predicted. Just overlaps. No minimation is perfpormed by the solver
solver predicted
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/659460/image.png)
Walter Roberson
2021-6-21
编辑:Walter Roberson
2021-6-21
You overwrote d and t1 in the function and you hardcoded t1 in the function.
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
y_obs = [
0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
5.5928e-01
6.0894e-01
6.5506e-01
6.8876e-01
7.1773e-01
7.4284e-01
7.6433e-01
7.8448e-01
7.9912e-01
8.1484e-01
8.2950e-01
8.3760e-01
8.4707e-01
8.5767e-01
8.6299e-01
8.6862e-01
8.7433e-01
8.7879e-01
8.8736e-01
8.9152e-01
8.9903e-01
9.0343e-01
9.0984e-01
9.1344e-01
9.1615e-01
9.2046e-01
9.2313e-01
9.2640e-01
9.2992e-01
9.3134e-01
9.3242e-01
9.3616e-01
9.3986e-01
9.4201e-01
9.4145e-01
9.4434e-01
9.4252e-01
9.4131e-01
9.4249e-01
9.4283e-01
9.4395e-01
9.4355e-01
9.4690e-01
9.4919e-01
9.5255e-01
9.5626e-01
9.6282e-01
9.6283e-01
9.6672e-01
9.6439e-01
9.6887e-01
9.7099e-01
9.7529e-01
9.8034e-01
9.8302e-01
9.8494e-01
9.8828e-01
9.8769e-01
9.9130e-01
9.9108e-01
9.9422e-01
9.9561e-01
9.9737e-01
1.0002e+00
1.0034e+00
1.0044e+00
1.00329
1.0];
d0 = 1e-10;
fun = @(d) ypred(d, t1) - y_obs;
best_d = lsqnonlin(fun, d0)
Local minimum possible.
lsqnonlin stopped because the size of the current step is less than
the value of the step size tolerance.
best_d =
1.000000000000000e-10
predicted_y = ypred(best_d, t1);
plot(t1, y_obs, '*', t1, predicted_y, '-');
legend({'observed', 'predicted'})
title('lsqnonlin data fitting')
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/659470/image.png)
function y_pred = ypred(d, t1)
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
L2 = zeros(14,1);
L3 = zeros(100,1);
L4 = zeros(100,1);
L5 = zeros(100,1);
S= zeros(73,1);
y_pred = zeros(73,1);
% t = 0;
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
format longE
k =1;
for t = t1(:).'
for n=0:1:100
L2(n+1) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n+1) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n+1)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n+1) = ((L2(n+1)*L3(n+1))/L4(n+1));
end
S((t/300) +1) = sum(L5);
y_pred((t/300)+1)= 1 -(L1*S((t/300) +1)); % predicted data
end
end
Walter Roberson
2021-6-21
But still notice that the fitting is giving the same d result as input. The fitting can only progress down to about 1e-8 with the default fitting options.
Anand Ra
2021-6-25
Hello,
All of a sudden, the curvesa are fitting. I have no idea what I did.
t1 = [0:300:21600]';
y_obs = [
0
1.6216e-01
2.9813e-01
4.0805e-01
4.9338e-01
5.5928e-01
6.0894e-01
6.5506e-01
6.8876e-01
7.1773e-01
7.4284e-01
7.6433e-01
7.8448e-01
7.9912e-01
8.1484e-01
8.2950e-01
8.3760e-01
8.4707e-01
8.5767e-01
8.6299e-01
8.6862e-01
8.7433e-01
8.7879e-01
8.8736e-01
8.9152e-01
8.9903e-01
9.0343e-01
9.0984e-01
9.1344e-01
9.1615e-01
9.2046e-01
9.2313e-01
9.2640e-01
9.2992e-01
9.3134e-01
9.3242e-01
9.3616e-01
9.3986e-01
9.4201e-01
9.4145e-01
9.4434e-01
9.4252e-01
9.4131e-01
9.4249e-01
9.4283e-01
9.4395e-01
9.4355e-01
9.4690e-01
9.4919e-01
9.5255e-01
9.5626e-01
9.6282e-01
9.6283e-01
9.6672e-01
9.6439e-01
9.6887e-01
9.7099e-01
9.7529e-01
9.8034e-01
9.8302e-01
9.8494e-01
9.8828e-01
9.8769e-01
9.9130e-01
9.9108e-01
9.9422e-01
9.9561e-01
9.9737e-01
1.0002e+00
1.0034e+00
1.0044e+00
1.00329
1.0];
d0 = 3.0e-10;
fun = @(d) ypred(d, t1) - y_obs;
best_d = lsqnonlin(fun, d0)
predicted_y = ypred(best_d, t1);
plot(t1, y_pred, '*', t1, predicted_y, '-');
legend({'observed', 'predicted'})
%title('lsqnonlin data fitting')
function y_pred = ypred(d, t1)
a=0.0011;
gama = 0.01005;
L2 = zeros(14,1);
L3 = zeros(100,1);
L4 = zeros(100,1);
L5 = zeros(100,1);
S= zeros(73,1);
y_pred = zeros(73,1);
L1 = ((8*gama)/((pi*(1-exp(-2*gama*a)))));
format longE
for t= t1(:).'
for n=0:1:100
L2(n+1) = exp((((2*n + 1)^2)*-d*pi*pi*t)/(4*a*a));
L3(n+1) = (((-1)^n)*2*gama)+(((2*n+1)*pi)*exp(-2*gama*a))/(2*a);
L4(n+1)= ((2*n)+1)*((4*gama*gama)+((((2*n)+1)*pi)/(2*a))^2);
L5(n+1) = ((L2(n+1)*L3(n+1))/L4(n+1));
end
S((t/300) +1) = sum(L5);
y_pred((t/300)+1)= 1 -(L1*S((t/300) +1)); % predicted data
end
end
![](https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/answers/uploaded_files/665845/image.jpeg)
Anand Ra
2021-6-25
However, I had to keep attempting the inital value to get the right number that would produce a fit. The optimized coefficient is same as my initial assumption.
When I tried with different datab set for y_obs, I am unable to find that perfect inital guess that would produce me a good fit.
Not sure what is going wrong.
Anand Ra
2021-6-26
Did I make any mistake like earlier with the code? Is there a way to get a good fit with an arbitrary initial guess?
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