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COVID-19 Spread Predictor

version 1.1.2 (330 KB) by Ahmed Abdel-Gawad
This application predicts the spread of COVID-19 based on the EIRD-HIT mathematical model.


Updated 02 Sep 2020

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This tool models COVID-19 spread for the real data of any country based on it is parameters.

Fit the parameters for current known number of Exposed, Infected, Recovered and Deceased for a certain period of time, then increase the time to predict for a longer period.

Cite As

Ahmed Abdel-Gawad (2020). COVID-19 Spread Predictor (, MATLAB Central File Exchange. Retrieved .

Comments and Ratings (1)

Zhiyong LUO



'q' parameter was eliminated from the model.


Updated based on more recent COVID data.

MATLAB Release Compatibility
Created with R2020a
Compatible with any release
Platform Compatibility
Windows macOS Linux
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